Indian monetary policy makers may tighten rates in the third quarter if inflation risks materialize. Higher food and fuel prices could lead to broad-based inflation, prompting action. Inflation is projected to peak at 5.9% in Q3 2026-27, signaling potential policy shifts. The central bank remains watchful of global economic turbulence and its domestic impact. Monetary response is warranted if inflation expectations become de-anchored or persistent.
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